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Deep Division in the Opposition: Data Analysis

Opposition Divisions Remain in Sweden

The Swedish opposition parties have been unable to form a cohesive political alternative since last year’s election. This lack of unity is still evident, as DN’s analysis of data from the Riksdag’s votes shows.

Center Party Stands Out as Most Divided Opposition Party

The Center Party stands out the most amongst the opposition. According to political scientist Jan Teorell, “It is striking how little cohesion there is.”

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Left and Center Parties Remain Divided

Before the election, the parties on the right managed to form a coalition, with M, KD, L and SD joining forces. However, the parties on the left and center remain divided. This is evident from a joint analysis with Datastory on data from the votes held in the Riksdag since the election. The Green Party and the Left Party have agreed in almost half of the polls, while the Social Democrats and MP are most closely aligned (41 percent of votes).

Social Democrats Vote More Often with Right-Wing Government than Opposition Parties

In contrast, V and C have only voted together one-fifth of the time. Interestingly, S has voted more often (59 percent) with the right-wing government than with any of the other opposition parties. This could be due to the fact that in the first year of a mandate, it is common for a new government to present proposals that have already been prepared by the previous one.

Center Party Votes More Like Government than Other Opposition Parties

The Center Party has also voted more like the government than like other opposition parties, voting differently from SD but also very differently from red-greens. Jan Teorell believes that in order for a more coherent center-left block to be formed before the next election, it will take some time. He states, “Strategically, it will probably be required, otherwise the government and SD will make maximum use of the split in the next election campaign.”

Time Needed to Form More Coherent Center-Left Block

In conclusion, despite attempts to form a cohesive political alternative on either side of Sweden’s political spectrum, divisions remain amongst opposition parties. This is most evident in the votes held by the Riksdag since last year’s election, where agreement between most opposition parties is rare. It remains to be seen what will happen in upcoming elections and if these divisions can be reconciled.

Divisions Remain Among Opposition Parties

The divisions among the Swedish opposition parties are a major obstacle to forming a cohesive political alternative to the current government. These divisions are evident in the votes held by the Riksdag, where agreement between most opposition parties is rare. It remains to be seen whether these divisions can be reconciled before the next election.

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